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Daily Market Dispatch – July 16, 2025 Overview Markets traded cautiously on Wednesday as investors weighed slightly hotter U.S. inflation data and growing macro-policy uncertainty. While the June CPI report was largely in line with expectations, it reinforced the view that price pressures remain persistent, yet manageable. Crypto markets stayed in focus, with Bitcoin hovering around $118,000. While “Crypto Week” in Washington faced early procedural setbacks, expectations remain that votes on key bills will proceed. Total crypto market cap edged up to $3.76 trillion, with Bitcoin open interest above $43 billion — a sign that participants are positioning for meaningful moves. With inflation data stable and digital asset regulation advancing, markets may finally have enough visibility to cautiously lean back into risk. Bitcoin Bitcoin held firm near $118,000 following a volatile start to the week that included a retreat from its all-time high. The dip was driven by profit-taking and a temporary setback in the House vote on the GENIUS Act — part of the broader “Crypto Week” agenda. However, President Trump’s late-night lobbying appears to have revived momentum, with lawmakers signaling renewed willingness to advance key digital asset bills. ETF flows continue to act as a tailwind: spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their ninth straight day of net inflows, adding $403 million on Tuesday, led by BlackRock’s IBIT. For now, it appears the market is positioning and anticipating a green light from Washington before making its next move. Ethereum Ethereum climbed 5.2% to trade above $3,150, outperforming peers amid consistent ETF demand and policy tailwinds. Tuesday marked the eighth consecutive day of net inflows for ETH ETFs, with $192 million added. The rally was further fueled by corporate accumulation. SharpLink Gaming now holds over 280,000 ETH, overtaking even the Ethereum Foundation, and has staked nearly all of it. Macro & Markets The U.S. CPI report showed headline inflation rose 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, slightly above May’s 2.4%. Core CPI eased to 2.9% year-over-year and 0.2% month-over-month. The data was broadly in line with expectations and strengthened market expectations for a possible September Fed rate cut. Still, tariff uncertainty remains. President Trump reiterated plans for sweeping duties, including 200% tariffs on pharmaceutical imports. Equities were under modest pressure: S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures ticked lower, and Tuesday’s session saw a mild retreat across major indexes following CPI data. Earnings results have been mixed — while JPMorgan, Citi, and Wells Fargo beat expectations, caution over global trade and deficits dominated executive commentary. Gold prices edged higher, recouping overnight losses as haven demand persisted despite a firmer dollar. Spot gold hovered near $3,340/oz, still rangebound after underperforming platinum and silver in recent months. The Fed may be inching toward a cut, but tariff turbulence still clouds the path – especially if supply chain inflation starts to reaccelerate. Looking Ahead Markets are now turning to today’s U.S. Producer Price Index and the Fed’s Beige Book, which will provide a broader read on input costs and business conditions. Thursday brings Eurozone CPI and U.S. retail sales, both key for gauging global demand and central bank flexibility. Meanwhile, earnings season picks up with Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley, followed by results from United Airlines and Johnson & Johnson. If regulation, monetary policy, and institutional demand align, this week could mark a turning point, ushering crypto into its next phase of mainstream integration. — Iliya Kalchev, Nexo Dispatch analyst For informational purposes only; not financial or investment advice